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Macau Weekly:Too early to call a trend

类型:投资策略  机构:香港上海汇丰银行有限公司   研究员:香港上海汇丰研究所  日期:2017-06-07
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Just a glimpse into June: First 4 days of June yielded MOP2.72bn in gross gamingrevenue (GGR). This translates into an average daily run rate (ADR) of MOP680m/day,compared with MOP734m/day in May and MOP510m/day during the same period lastyear. This seems like a good start to June especially given it is a seasonally weakermonth. However, the first 4 days span Thursday to Sunday i.e. includes a weekend, soit maybe too early to conclude or a call a trend at this point.

    June to track +23% to +25% y-o-y: Factoring seasonality, we estimate full-month GGRto come in at MOP19.5-19.9bn, implying MOP640-660m/day for the rest of the month.

    This would translate into 2Q17 overall GGR to be down 1-2% q-o-q or up 21-22% y-o-y.

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